Top 10 stocks. Once a month. Expert picks, straight to your inbox.See the newsletter
Microsoft logo

Microsoft

MSFT
$487.65
+20%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 3, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$188$315$442$568Aug 2021Oct 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $414.20
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.0 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+20%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$406
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
September 2024
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
22 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Microsoft

Microsoft owns the software and cloud platform most companies in the world run on. That includes Office 365, Outlook, Teams, Windows, Xbox, GitHub, LinkedIn, and the Azure cloud platform that competes with Amazon Web Services. They are also the largest investor in OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, which has put them at the center of the enterprise AI race.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Azure Acceleration

    Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, just grew 40 percent year over year. The total Microsoft Cloud business reached 54.5 billion dollars in the quarter, growing 29 percent. Even more impressive, the commercial backlog of contracts customers have already signed jumped 99 percent year over year to 627 billion dollars. That is roughly two years of total company revenue locked in.

  • AI Run Rate Soars

    Microsoft's AI business is now generating revenue at a 37 billion dollar annual run rate, up 123 percent from a year ago. That includes Copilot subscriptions inside Office, GitHub Copilot for developers, and Azure AI services for enterprises. Earnings per share grew 23 percent to 4.27 dollars in the quarter, and operating margins held at a fat 46 percent.

Bear case
  • Capex Cliff

    Microsoft is spending tens of billions of dollars per quarter on data centers and AI chips to keep up with demand. If Azure growth ever slows, those buildings turn into expensive overhead. The company also depends heavily on its OpenAI relationship, and any change in that partnership could shift the AI competitive landscape overnight.

  • Old Guard Drag

    The More Personal Computing segment, home to Windows, Surface, and Xbox, fell 1 percent this quarter. Windows OEM revenue is down 2 percent and Xbox content fell 5 percent. The PC and gaming halves of Microsoft are not growing, which means the entire investment story now rests on Azure and AI continuing to deliver.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-03. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

Want Benson to watch MSFT for you?

Get the app to follow every Benson pick live — and let Benson do the research for you.