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Petrobras

PBR.A
$16.06
-14%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 7, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$7$12$16$21Aug 2021Nov 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $18.28
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.3 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-14%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$19
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
March 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
4 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Petrobras

Petrobras is Brazil's massive state-controlled oil company and one of the world's top deepwater producers. Think of them as a company that found oil in incredibly deep ocean waters and figured out how to pull it out cheaper than almost anyone else, at under 6 dollars a barrel. They produce about 3 million barrels per day and have plans to grow that even further.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Rock Bottom Costs

    Petrobras has some of the lowest production costs in the oil industry, with lifting costs below 6 dollars per barrel in their pre-salt fields. That means even when oil prices drop, they still make strong profits. Their breakeven point is around 50 dollars per barrel, well below current prices.

  • Dividend Machine

    The company pays out about 45 percent of its free cash flow as dividends, currently yielding around 7 percent. Their price to earnings ratio of about 5.5 times is a fraction of what American oil companies trade at, where names like Exxon sit above 23 times. That combination of high yield and low valuation is rare.

Bear case
  • Government Control

    The Brazilian government is the majority owner and has historically used Petrobras for political goals, like keeping fuel prices low before elections. This means shareholders don't always come first. Recent export taxes and price controls have already limited how much the company can benefit from rising oil prices.

  • Oil Price Rollercoaster

    Petrobras is essentially a bet on oil prices. When prices are high, the company prints money. When they drop, everything tightens. Right now oil is elevated because of the Iran conflict, but that could change quickly. The Brazilian currency also swings wildly, which adds another layer of uncertainty for U.S. investors.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-07. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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