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SanDisk

SNDK
$1,288.03
+139%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 3, 2026.

Performance

Feb 2025Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$0$840$1,680$2,519Feb 2025Jun 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Aug 2026Benson picked · $576.25
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.4 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Low risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+139%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$539
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
January 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
6 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About SanDisk

SanDisk makes the NAND flash memory chips that store the massive amounts of data AI systems generate and process. They spun off from Western Digital in early 2025 and have rapidly become one of the most important storage companies powering AI data centers. When a hyperscaler trains an AI model or you save photos to an SD card, there is a good chance SanDisk made the chip holding it all.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Blowout Quarter

    Q3 revenue exploded to 5.95 billion dollars, up 97% from last quarter and up 251% from a year ago. Gross margins jumped to 78.4%, an absolutely stunning 56 point improvement year over year. Earnings per share hit 23.41 dollars, and management guided next quarter even higher to 7.75 to 8.25 billion dollars in revenue with earnings up to 33 dollars per share.

  • Data Center Surge

    Datacenter revenue rocketed 233% in a single quarter to 1.47 billion dollars, and 645% from a year ago, as hyperscalers race to lock in AI storage supply. SanDisk has now signed five multi-year supply agreements with major customers, transforming the business from volatile spot pricing to predictable long-term contracts. The company also paid off all its debt, ending the quarter with 3.7 billion dollars in cash and zero debt.

Bear case
  • Cyclical Risk

    Memory pricing is the biggest reason results look this strong, and pricing cycles always turn. New NAND supply is not expected until late 2027 or 2028, but when it arrives, today's 78% gross margins will compress fast. Revenue grew 97% in one quarter, which sets a very high bar for future comparisons.

  • Concentration Worry

    More than 60% of revenue now comes from just two segments tied to AI infrastructure spending, and any pause in hyperscaler buildouts would hit hard. Consumer revenue actually fell 10% this quarter, showing weakness outside the AI story. Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron could also pivot more wafer capacity back to NAND if pricing stays this attractive, eroding the supply squeeze that is fueling these margins.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-03. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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