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Alcoa Corporation logo

Alcoa Corporation

AA
$38.70
▼ -38%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through October 22, 2026.

Performance

Oct 2021 – Oct 2026

Benson's first pick
$17$45$73$101Oct 2021Jan 2023Apr 2024Jul 2025Oct 2026Benson picked · $63.93
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.1 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-38%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$63
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
May 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
5 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Alcoa Corporation

Alcoa is one of the largest aluminum producers in the world. They mine bauxite, refine it into alumina, and smelt it into aluminum, the metal behind cars, cans, airplanes, and power lines. If it's lightweight, strong, and metal, Alcoa probably had a hand in making it possible.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Profit Doubled

    Alcoa earned 483 million dollars this quarter, more than double the 232 million from a year ago. After paying for upkeep and equipment, it still kept 472 million dollars in cash. It's also cashing in on the AI building boom by agreeing to sell part of an old New York site to a data center builder for up to 315 million dollars.

  • Back on Track

    The Australian refinery that stumbled earlier this year is running smoothly again, which pushed alumina production up 11 percent to 2.5 million metric tons. Aluminum output rose for the sixth quarter in a row to 649,000 metric tons, helped by the finished restart of its Alumar smelter in Brazil. Alcoa expects to make and ship even more of both next quarter.

Bear case
  • Price Pressure

    Revenue fell 7 percent from last quarter to 3.7 billion dollars because aluminum prices and shipments both dropped. Alcoa also expects about 60 million dollars in extra costs next quarter from raw materials, maintenance, and pricier alumina for its smelters. Alcoa doesn't set the price of aluminum, so when the market cools, profits can shrink fast.

  • Borrowed Billions

    Alcoa borrowed 2.6 billion dollars by selling new bonds to help pay about 3.1 billion dollars in cash for South32's mines, refineries, and smelters. That raises its expected interest bill for the year to about 185 million dollars, and the deal won't close until the first half of 2027. Big purchases like this can be hard to fold in, so how well Alcoa handles it matters.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-10-22. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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