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Caterpillar

CAT
$605.28
▼ -24%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through November 12, 2026.

Performance

Nov 2021 – Nov 2026

Benson's first pick
$90$439$788$1,137Nov 2021Feb 2023May 2024Aug 2025Nov 2026Benson picked · $808.87
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.7 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-24%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$800
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
April 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
6 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Caterpillar

Caterpillar is the world's largest maker of construction and mining equipment, the yellow bulldozers and excavators you see on job sites everywhere. It also has a booming second act: its giant engines and turbines power AI data centers that cannot pull enough electricity from the grid. Think of it as selling the picks and shovels for both the building boom and the AI boom.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Profits Outrun Sales

    Sales rose 17 percent to 20.7 billion dollars, but profit from the core business jumped 38 percent to 4.2 billion dollars. Profit per share hit 7 dollars and 13 cents, up from 4 dollars and 88 cents a year ago. Caterpillar now keeps about 20 cents of every sales dollar as profit, up from about 17 cents.

  • AI Power Play

    AI data centers need huge amounts of on-site power, and Caterpillar's turbines and big engines are a go-to fix. Power generation sales grew 30 percent to 3.4 billion dollars, mostly from data centers. Profit in the whole power and energy business rose 31 percent to 2.1 billion dollars.

Bear case
  • Cycle Risk

    Heavy machinery is a boom and bust business, and right now North America is carrying the load. Sales there rose 24 percent to about 12 billion dollars, more than half the total, while Asia Pacific slipped 2 percent. If US building or data center spending cools, growth could fade quickly.

  • Tariff Tailwind

    Profit this quarter included 128 million dollars of tariff refunds, which is money coming back from import taxes the company paid earlier. That is a nice boost, but it is not money the company earns every quarter. Trade rules keep shifting and could raise costs again.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-11-12. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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