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Brinker International

EAT
$197.61
▲ +38%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through November 12, 2026.

Performance

Nov 2021 – Nov 2026

Benson's first pick
$3$93$183$272Nov 2021Feb 2023May 2024Aug 2025Nov 2026Benson picked · $143.54
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.0 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+38%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$144
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
January 2025
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
21 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Brinker International

Brinker International owns and operates Chili's Grill and Bar plus Maggiano's Little Italy, with more than 1,600 restaurants in the US, 28 other countries, and two US territories. Chili's is the engine, bringing in about 94% of revenue with its Triple Dipper, everyday value deals, and its hit Big Crispy chicken sandwich. Maggiano's is the smaller, pricier Italian sister brand.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Sizzling Streak

    Chili's just posted its 22nd straight quarter of rising sales at existing restaurants, up 10.1% on top of a 21% jump a year ago. That adds up to 52% growth over three years. More guests walking in and menu price increases both drove it. Total company revenue climbed 9% to 1.48 billion dollars.

  • Profits Pop

    Profit per share, leaving out one-time items, jumped 44% to 2.77 dollars from 1.93 a year ago, and free cash flow rose about 70% to 105.7 million dollars. Management raised its full year profit forecast to 13.30 to 13.90 dollars per share. It also bought back 125 million dollars of stock and replaced 350 million dollars of 8.25% interest debt with cheaper borrowing.

Bear case
  • Pasta Problem

    Maggiano's sales at existing restaurants fell 3.4% as fewer guests showed up, and its quarterly sales slid to 94.7 million dollars from 99.2 million. The brand lost 3.6 million dollars on an operating basis. It is only about 6% of revenue, but it shows how quickly diners pull back from pricier menus.

  • High Bar Ahead

    Chili's now has to beat its own record every quarter after stacking a 10% gain on top of a 21% gain. Food, hourly labor, insurance, and delivery costs are all rising, and about 70 cents of this year's profit forecast comes from a bonus 53rd week on the calendar. If diners start spending less, it would show up fast.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-11-12. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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