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Brinker International

EAT
$246.06
+71%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 21, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$4$91$177$264Aug 2021Nov 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $143.54
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.7 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+71%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$144
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
January 2025
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
19 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Brinker International

Brinker International owns and operates Chili's Grill and Bar plus Maggiano's Little Italy, with more than 1,600 restaurants in the US, 28 other countries, and two US territories. Chili's is the engine, famous for its Triple Dipper, fajitas, and its everyday value menu, and it just added a Big Crispy chicken sandwich that guests are lining up for. Maggiano's is the smaller upscale Italian sister brand.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Five Year Streak

    Chili's just finished five straight years of same-store sales growth, adding up to a 71% jump over that stretch. Same-store sales rose another 5.6% at Chili's this quarter with more people walking through the door, and full year quarterly sales hit 1.52 billion dollars, up from 1.45 billion a year ago.

  • Profits Surging

    Earnings per share jumped 30% to 2.99 dollars for the quarter, and full year earnings reached 10.87 dollars per share versus 8.32 last year. The company bought back 400 million dollars of its own stock during the year and just approved another 750 million dollars for more buybacks. Management expects 12.60 to 13.40 dollars per share next year.

Bear case
  • Maggiano's Slipping

    Maggiano's same-store sales fell 2.5% this quarter and 3.9% for the full year as fewer guests showed up and some locations closed. Its quarterly operating income dropped to 1 million dollars from 13.4 million a year ago. It is a small slice of the business, but it shows how quickly diners pull back from pricier menus.

  • Cost Creep

    Beef prices are climbing and a late freeze in Florida pushed produce costs higher, squeezing food costs at Chili's even as the restaurant margin improved to 18.6%. Delivery fees, advertising, and hourly labor are all rising too. Next year's forecast also leans on a bonus 53rd week worth roughly 70 cents per share, so the underlying growth bar is high.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-21. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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