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Lumen Technologies

LUMN
$6.45
-41%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 3, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$0$5$10$15Aug 2021Oct 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $10.34
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.0 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-41%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$11
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
October 2025
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
9 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Lumen Technologies

Lumen owns one of America's biggest fiber optic networks, the glass cables that move internet data at the speed of light. They're transforming from an old-school phone company into the digital highway that powers AI, connecting data centers and cloud platforms for the world's biggest tech giants.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Strategic Surge

    For the first time ever, Lumen's new strategic business is now bigger than its old legacy business, hitting 51 percent of total business revenue this quarter. Strategic revenue grew 9 percent year over year while the company also closed a deal to buy Alkira, a cloud-native networking company that supercharges their AI offering. The transformation is officially working.

  • Cash Flood

    Free cash flow more than doubled to 756 million dollars this quarter, up from 354 million dollars a year ago. Even better, Lumen just raised its full-year cash flow guidance to between 1.9 and 2.1 billion dollars, way up from the previous 1.2 to 1.4 billion. They also cut their debt-to-earnings ratio below 4 times for the first time in years.

Bear case
  • Revenue Slide

    Total revenue fell 9 percent to 2.9 billion dollars, dragged down by a brutal 31 percent collapse in their old Mass Markets phone business. Even their wholesale and mid-market enterprise segments shrank by 8 and 10 percent. The new business is growing, but not fast enough yet to make up for the old business dying.

  • Profit Problem

    Lumen still lost 200 million dollars this quarter, and their adjusted earnings actually slipped from 929 million to 849 million dollars. Profit margins on net income sit at negative 14 percent, meaning every dollar of sales still loses money. Until the AI fiber buildout starts paying off, the bottom line stays ugly.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-03. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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