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Lumentum logo

Lumentum

LITE
$866.71
+347%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 21, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$0$378$756$1,134Aug 2021Nov 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $198.39
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.5 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+347%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$194
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
October 2025
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
9 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Lumentum

Lumentum makes the laser chips and optical gear that let AI data centers move data as beams of light instead of through slower copper wires. Every big AI cluster needs these light connections to keep thousands of chips talking to each other. Revenue just hit a record 1.01 billion dollars for the quarter, more than double a year ago, and full year revenue reached 3.01 billion dollars.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Billion Dollar Breakthrough

    Lumentum just crossed one billion dollars in quarterly revenue for the first time, landing at 1.01 billion dollars, up 109% from a year ago. Both halves of the business are ripping at once, with components up 103% and systems up 123% year over year. Full year revenue climbed 83% to 3.01 billion dollars.

  • Margins Marching Up

    Making more money is one thing, keeping more of it is another. Gross margin reached 50.4% this quarter, up from 37.8% a year ago, and operating margin more than doubled to 36.6%. Management guided next quarter to 1.225 to 1.275 billion dollars in revenue with operating margins near 40%, hitting their long term target more than a quarter early.

Bear case
  • Massive Paper Loss

    The headline number looks terrifying. Lumentum reported a 7.2 billion dollar loss for the quarter, driven by a one time, non cash 7.8 billion dollar charge from converting debt into stock. No cash left the building, but that conversion creates new shares, and every existing shareholder now owns a smaller slice of the company.

  • Perfection Priced In

    The company is valued around 64 billion dollars, which is more than 20 times its entire annual revenue of 3.01 billion dollars. That leaves almost no room for a stumble. Management also warns that shifting product mix can swing profits quickly, since margins vary widely across their lineup, and tariffs plus rare earth export limits add more uncertainty.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-21. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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