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McDonald's

MCD
$265.23
-12%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 3, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$212$259$305$351Aug 2021Oct 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $304.23
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.5 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Low risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-12%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$303
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
August 2025
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
12 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About McDonald's

McDonald's is the world's biggest restaurant company, with more than 45,000 locations in over 100 countries. But here's the secret: it's really a real estate empire that happens to sell burgers. About 95% of its restaurants are run by independent owners who pay McDonald's rent plus a cut of every sale, so the company collects steady cash no matter what the economy is doing.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Real Estate Cash Machine

    McDonald's owns roughly 80% of the buildings and about half the land under its restaurants, and collects rent plus a royalty on franchisee sales before their costs ever come into play. That model produced net margins of 31.6% and 8.6 billion dollars of profit in 2025, profitability most tech companies would envy.

  • Growth Is Back

    First quarter 2026 revenue jumped 9% to 6.5 billion dollars with sales growth in every region, and the company gained market share in nearly all of its top ten markets. The loyalty app now has about 210 million active users, and McDonald's plans 2,600 new restaurants in 2026 on its way to 50,000 locations by 2027.

Bear case
  • Strapped Consumers

    Lower-income customers are pulling back, and McDonald's leans on value menus to keep them coming through the door. If food, paper, and labor costs keep rising while customers stay price sensitive, restaurant margins get squeezed from both sides.

  • Steady, Not Speedy

    This is a mature business. Full-year 2025 revenue grew about 4%, and first quarter 2026 earnings per share grew just 2% once currency swings are stripped out. The company also carries about 39 billion dollars of net debt, so expect a steady compounder, not explosive returns.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-03. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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