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Par Pacific Holdings logo

Par Pacific Holdings

PARR
$79.03
+26%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 21, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$6$35$63$92Aug 2021Nov 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $61.67
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.4 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+26%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$63
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
March 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
4 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Par Pacific Holdings

Par Pacific is like the only gas station on a long, empty highway, except their highway is the whole state of Hawaii plus big stretches of the Rocky Mountains and Pacific Northwest. They turn crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, then sell it through their own pipelines and convenience stores. It's a 3.5 billion dollar company operating in places where almost nobody else can compete.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Built-In Monopoly

    Par Pacific runs the only major refinery in Hawaii and supplies fuel across Montana, Wyoming, and Washington. These are isolated markets, and a rival would need to spend billions on refineries, pipelines, and shipping just to show up. That protection is why the company still holds a roughly 3.5 billion dollar market value even after a softer year for fuel prices.

  • Margins Doubled

    Here's the headline shift. Net margins climbed to about 9.9 percent, roughly double where they sat a year ago, even as revenue slipped. Management is sending that money back to shareholders with a fresh 250 million dollar buyback after retiring about 10 percent of shares last year. The pipeline and store businesses alone generate around 240 million dollars of steady yearly cash, enough to cover all the debt.

Bear case
  • Price Swings

    Par Pacific earns on the gap between what crude oil costs and what fuel sells for. When that gap narrows, profits drop quickly. Revenue is already down about 6.4 percent over the past year, and another squeeze would hit the refining side hard. This business moves with the energy cycle, so expect bumpy quarters.

  • Regulatory Wildcards

    Washington state's carbon rules create unpredictable costs at their Tacoma refinery, and if those costs can't be passed to customers, margins shrink. There's also the open question of whether their federal small refinery exemptions keep getting renewed. Those waivers have been worth real money, and the company's roughly 700 million dollars in tax shields won't cushion every policy surprise.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-21. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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