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ExxonMobil logo

ExxonMobil

XOM
$169.78
▲ +55%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through November 12, 2026.

Performance

Nov 2021 – Nov 2026

Benson's first pick
$49$98$148$197Nov 2021Feb 2023May 2024Aug 2025Nov 2026Benson picked · $107.37
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.6 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+55%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$110
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
August 2025
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
15 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About ExxonMobil

ExxonMobil is the largest publicly traded oil and gas company in the world, pumping about 4.5 million barrels of oil and gas a day. Think of them as the plumbing behind modern life, running oil wells in Texas and Guyana, giant refineries, chemical plants, and the gas stations you drive past every day. Right now, with global fuel supplies tight, their refineries are the star of the show.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Refining Rocket

    Profit from turning crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel jumped from 1.8 billion dollars a year ago to 7.2 billion dollars this quarter, about four times bigger. Trouble in the Middle East and refinery outages in Russia left the world short on fuel, and ExxonMobil's Gulf Coast refineries ran at 100% to fill the gap. That helped total quarterly profit double to 15.4 billion dollars.

  • Cash Gusher

    After paying for every well, pipeline, and plant, ExxonMobil kept 19.1 billion dollars of spare cash this quarter. It sent 9.4 billion dollars of that back to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks, and plans to keep buybacks at 20 billion dollars in 2027 if markets cooperate. Its cheapest barrels keep growing too, with the Permian Basin in Texas now near 1.8 million barrels a day.

Bear case
  • Middle East Mess

    Total production slipped to about 4.5 million barrels a day, down 5.7% from a year ago. Damaged natural gas plants in Qatar and shipping problems in the region are holding barrels back, and ExxonMobil expects to lose about 350,000 barrels a day next quarter. When the problem is halfway around the world, there is only so much the company can do to speed up the fix.

  • Borrowed Boom

    Much of this quarter's profit jump came from a global fuel shortage, not from something ExxonMobil built. Refining profit quadrupled, and those fat margins will shrink once Middle East supply and global trade get back to normal, whether that happens next year or later. Over the past year, only about 9 cents of every dollar of sales ended up as profit, so a cooling market squeezes fast.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-11-12. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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