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Advanced Micro Devices

AMD
$484.64
+251%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 3, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$14$217$420$623Aug 2021Oct 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $142.84
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.7 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+251%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$138
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
September 2024
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
22 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Advanced Micro Devices

AMD makes the chips that power artificial intelligence, from the gaming PCs in your home to the massive data centers training AI models. Think of them as the credible alternative to NVIDIA in the AI chip race. They just signed a partnership with OpenAI to deploy 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs, one of the largest AI infrastructure agreements ever announced. When the company behind ChatGPT picks you as a core compute partner, that's a serious validation moment.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • OpenAI Mega Deal

    AMD just locked in a multi-year, multi-generation partnership with OpenAI to deploy 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs, with the first 1 gigawatt of MI450 chips rolling out in the second half of 2026. Management says this single deal is expected to deliver tens of billions of dollars in revenue and be highly accretive to earnings. This is the kind of anchor customer that transforms a company's trajectory overnight.

  • Profit Engine Humming

    Revenue grew 34 percent over the past year, and net profit margins of 12.5 percent are more than double the industry average. AMD isn't just chasing growth, it's converting that growth into real profit. With AI accelerator demand still exploding and margins expanding alongside revenue, the financial flywheel is spinning faster every quarter.

Bear case
  • Software Moat Gap

    NVIDIA's real edge isn't just chips, it's CUDA, the software platform developers have used for more than a decade. AMD's competing platform is improving fast, but switching costs are real. Until AMD fully closes this gap, some customers will stick with NVIDIA even when AMD's hardware is competitive on price and performance.

  • Priced For Perfection

    After a massive run, AMD trades at roughly 54 times forward earnings, more than double NVIDIA's multiple. The OpenAI deal is enormous, but the expectations baked into the stock are also enormous. With a beta of 2.4, AMD swings more than twice as hard as the broader market, so any stumble in execution or AI spending could trigger a sharp pullback.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-03. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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