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HF Sinclair logo

HF Sinclair

DINO
$115.00
▼ -6%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through October 30, 2026.

Performance

Nov 2021 – Oct 2026

Benson's first pick
$18$57$97$136Nov 2021Feb 2023May 2024Aug 2025Oct 2026Benson picked · $128.23
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.1 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-6%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$123
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
October 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
0 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About HF Sinclair

HF Sinclair runs oil refineries in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Wyoming, Washington and Utah, turning crude oil into gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. You might know its Sinclair gas stations by the green dinosaur on the sign, and it supplies more than 1,850 of them. It also makes renewable diesel and motor oils, and it plans to split the motor oil business off into its own company during 2027.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Barrel Bonanza

    HF Sinclair earned about 2 billion dollars in the third quarter, five times the 403 million it made a year ago. Fuel is scarce around the world, so every barrel it refined brought in far more money. Even its side businesses helped, with renewable diesel swinging from a 55 million dollar loss to a 123 million dollar profit.

  • Shareholder Payday

    The company handed 572 million dollars back to shareholders this quarter, including 479 million to buy back its own stock. It now holds about 3.3 billion dollars in cash, up from under 1 billion at the start of the year, against 2.8 billion in debt. It is also keeping its quarterly dividend at 52.5 cents per share.

Bear case
  • Borrowed Boom

    HF Sinclair made about 54 dollars on every barrel this quarter, nearly triple the 19 dollars it made a year ago. That windfall comes from a global fuel shortage tied to the conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine. When supply comes back, refining profits will likely drift back toward last year's levels.

  • Fickle Favors

    Part of this quarter's jump came from the EPA letting smaller refineries skip some costly renewable fuel rules, and that perk could be taken back. The company also refined less oil, about 614,000 barrels a day versus 639,000 a year ago, while its Kansas refinery was down for planned maintenance. Its smaller refineries also tend to feel the pain first when the cycle turns.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-10-30. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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