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Marathon Petroleum logo

Marathon Petroleum

MPC
$389.55
▲ +6%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through November 10, 2026.

Performance

Nov 2021 – Nov 2026

Benson's first pick
$26$191$355$519Nov 2021Feb 2023May 2024Aug 2025Nov 2026Benson picked · $373.32
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
4.2 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
Medium risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
+6%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$369
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
August 2026
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
2 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Marathon Petroleum

Marathon Petroleum runs the largest oil refining system in the United States, turning crude oil into the gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel that keep cars, trucks, and planes moving. Think of it as one of the country's biggest kitchens, buying raw ingredients and cooking them into fuel everyone uses every day. It also controls a pipeline and natural gas business that earns steady fees even when refining has a rough patch.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Profits Up Fivefold

    Marathon earned 7.4 billion dollars in the third quarter, more than five times the 1.4 billion it made a year earlier. Its refineries kept about 34 dollars of profit on every barrel, up from about 6 dollars, while running flat out at 100 percent of capacity. When the world is short on fuel, the country's biggest refiner gets paid handsomely.

  • Payouts Keep Climbing

    Marathon returned 3.3 billion dollars to shareholders in one quarter, raised its dividend 10 percent, and set aside another 5 billion dollars to buy back its own shares. It sits on 13.6 billion dollars in cash with no borrowing on its main credit line. Its pipeline arm also raised its payout 12.5 percent for a third straight year, sending Marathon about 3.1 billion dollars a year in steadier income.

Bear case
  • Margins Won't Last

    Profit per barrel jumped more than fivefold in a year, from about 6 dollars to 34 dollars, because fuel is selling for far more than crude oil costs in every region Marathon serves. The refineries already ran at 100 percent, so there is no room to squeeze out more, and Marathon expects to process a bit less in the fourth quarter. When global supply catches up, these fat margins can shrink fast.

  • Feast Or Famine

    Refining swings hard from year to year. Revenue slipped about 4 percent in 2025 before this year's surge, and Marathon is now selling two refineries in Minnesota and North Dakota for 4.2 billion dollars, which shrinks its footprint until that cash is put back to work on the Gulf Coast. Investors should expect a bumpy ride, not smooth, steady growth.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-11-10. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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