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Transmedics

TMDX
$81.55
-41%since Benson's first pick

Market price data through August 3, 2026.

Performance

Aug 2021Aug 2026

Benson's first pick
$0$63$126$189Aug 2021Oct 2022Feb 2024May 2025Aug 2026Benson picked · $135.68
Model signal
Buy
What Benson's model currently says about this stock.
Benson rating
3.3 / 5
Benson's overall conviction in this stock right now.
Risk
High risk
How bumpy the ride tends to be with this stock.

Track record

How this pick has done since Benson first called it.

Benson Return
-41%
How much this stock is up since Benson first picked it — measured from the price at the time of that first pick, not from today.
First pick price
~$139
Roughly what one share cost when Benson first picked this stock. This is the starting line for the Benson Return.
Tracking since
September 2024
The month this stock first became a Benson pick.
Tracking duration
22 months
How long Benson has been tracking this pick.

About Transmedics

TransMedics builds the technology that keeps donor organs alive during transport. Their Organ Care System pumps warm blood through hearts, lungs, and livers so they arrive at the hospital in better shape than old fashioned ice coolers ever allowed.

The case for and against

Both sides of the story, in plain English.

Bull case
  • Steady Scaling

    Revenue jumped 21 percent this quarter to 173.9 million dollars, driven by more hospitals using their organ system for liver and heart transplants. Management is sticking with full year guidance of 727 to 757 million dollars, which means they expect to grow another 20 to 25 percent for the year. They also ended the quarter with 461.7 million dollars in cash, plenty of fuel to keep expanding.

  • Going Global

    They just signed a deal to invest in PAD Aviation, a German private jet operator, to build the first dedicated organ transport network across Europe. They now own 22 aircraft and unveiled a new preservation system called CHOPS to speed up their heart and lung clinical trials. Each of these moves opens a brand new market that barely shows up in today's numbers.

Bear case
  • Margin Squeeze

    Operating income dropped 52 percent this quarter to 13.3 million dollars, even though sales went up. The company is spending heavily on research, new aircraft, and European expansion, which pushed operating margins from 19 percent down to under 8 percent. Profits per share fell from 70 cents to 20 cents year over year.

  • Heavy Lifting

    Running an airline alongside a medical device company is genuinely hard. Higher supply chain costs and growth investments knocked gross margin down from 61 percent to 58 percent this quarter. If fuel spikes, planes break, or trials slip, the cost side of this business can move fast in the wrong direction.

How to read this page

This automated research summary uses Financial Modeling Prep market data through 2026-08-03. Model signals, scores, and risk labels can change and may be incomplete or wrong.

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